Thanks to Justin Wolfers we can now use the latest scientific data to predict your probability of divorce (presumably it is very low if you aren’t already married). Here is the test. And here is what is spewed out for me:
People with similar backgrounds who are already divorced: 13%
People with similar backgrounds who will be divorced over the next five years: 10%
* In general for the five-year divorce prediction rates, those with less than 3 percent are at lower
risk, 3 – 7 percent are of average risk and more than 7 percent are at higher risk.
Those seem like pretty good odds. I won’t hire a lawyer despite the wealth of ads on the site for them. Interestingly, the test did not ask you whether and how many kids you had. I would have thought that to be predictive but maybe not.